This artist’s impression video exhibits how two tiny however very dense neutron stars merge and explode as a kilonova. Credit score: European Southern Observatory (ESO).
Stars just like the Solar are remarkably constant. They range in brightness by solely 0.1% over years and a long time, because of the fusion of hydrogen into helium that powers them. This course of will maintain the Solar shining steadily for about 5 billion more years, however when stars exhaust their nuclear gasoline, their deaths can lead to pyrotechnics.
The Sun will eventually die by rising massive after which condensing into a kind of star known as a white dwarf. However stars greater than eight instances extra large than the Solar die violently in an explosion called a supernova.
Supernovae occur throughout the Milky Way solely a few times a century, and these violent explosions are often distant sufficient that folks right here on Earth don’t discover. For a dying star to have any impact on life on our planet, it must go supernova inside 100 gentle years from Earth.
I’m an astronomer who research cosmology and black holes.
In my writing about cosmic endings, I’ve described the risk posed by stellar cataclysms similar to supernovae and associated phenomena similar to gamma-ray bursts. Most of those cataclysms are distant, however after they happen nearer to house they will pose a risk to life on Earth.
The dying of a large star
Only a few stars are large sufficient to die in a supernova. However when one does, it briefly rivals the brightness of billions of stars. At one supernova per 50 years, and with 100 billion galaxies in the universe, someplace within the universe a supernova explodes each hundredth of a second.
The dying star emits excessive vitality radiation as gamma rays. Gamma rays are a type of electromagnetic radiation with wavelengths a lot shorter than gentle waves, which means they’re invisible to the human eye. The dying star additionally releases a torrent of high-energy particles within the type of cosmic rays: subatomic particles shifting at near the velocity of sunshine.
Supernovae within the Milky Way are uncommon, however just a few have been shut sufficient to Earth that historic data talk about them. In 185 A.D., a star appeared in a spot the place no star had beforehand been seen. It was in all probability a supernova.
Observers world wide noticed a brilliant star out of the blue seem in 1006 A.D. Astronomers later matched it to a supernova 7,200 gentle years away. Then, in 1054 A.D., Chinese language astronomers recorded a star seen within the daytime sky that astronomers subsequently recognized as a supernova 6,500 gentle years away.
Johannes Kepler observed the final supernova within the Milky Way in 1604, so in a statistical sense, the next one is overdue.
At 600 gentle years away, the red supergiant Betelgeuse within the constellation of Orion is the closest large star getting near the tip of its life. When it goes supernova, it’ll shine as brilliant as the complete Moon for these watching from Earth, with out inflicting any harm to life on our planet.

Radiation harm
If a star goes supernova shut sufficient to Earth, the gamma-ray radiation might harm a few of the planetary safety that enables life to thrive on Earth. There’s a time delay because of the finite velocity of sunshine. If a supernova goes off 100 gentle years away, it takes 100 years for us to see it.
Astronomers have discovered proof of a supernova 300 gentle years away that exploded 2.5 million years in the past. Radioactive atoms trapped in seafloor sediments are the telltale signs of this event. Radiation from gamma rays eroded the ozone layer, which protects life on Earth from the Solar’s dangerous radiation. This occasion would have cooled the local weather, resulting in the extinction of some historic species.
Security from a supernova comes with higher distance. Gamma rays and cosmic rays unfold out in all instructions as soon as emitted from a supernova, so the fraction that attain the Earth decreases with greater distance. For instance, think about two similar supernovae, with one 10 instances nearer to Earth than the opposite. Earth would obtain radiation that’s a few hundred instances stronger from the nearer occasion.
A supernova inside 30 gentle years can be catastrophic, severely depleting the ozone layer, disrupting the marine meals chain and certain inflicting mass extinction. Some astronomers guess that close by supernovae triggered a series of mass extinctions 360 to 375 million years in the past. Fortunately, these occasions occur inside 30 gentle years solely each few hundred million years.
When neutron stars collide
However supernovae aren’t the one occasions that emit gamma rays. Neutron star collisions trigger high-energy phenomena starting from gamma rays to gravitational waves.
Left behind after a supernova explosion, neutron stars are city-size balls of matter with the density of an atomic nucleus, so 300 trillion instances denser than the Solar. These collisions created most of the gold and precious metals on Earth. The extreme stress brought on by two ultradense objects colliding forces neutrons into atomic nuclei, which creates heavier components similar to gold and platinum.
A neutron star collision generates an intense burst of gamma rays. These gamma rays are concentrated right into a narrow jet of radiation that packs an enormous punch.
If the Earth have been within the line of fireplace of a gamma-ray burst inside 10,000 light years, or 10% of the diameter of the galaxy, the burst would severely damage the ozone layer. It could additionally harm the DNA inside organisms’ cells, at a degree that may kill many easy life types like micro organism.
That sounds ominous, however neutron stars don’t sometimes type in pairs, so there’s only one collision in the Milky Way about every 10,000 years. They’re 100 times rarer than supernova explosions. Throughout the whole universe, there’s a neutron star collision each couple of minutes.
Gamma-ray bursts could not maintain an imminent risk to life on Earth, however over very very long time scales, bursts will inevitably hit the Earth. The odds of a gamma-ray burst triggering a mass extinction are 50% prior to now 500 million years and 90% within the 4 billion years since there was life on Earth.
By that math, it’s fairly doubtless {that a} gamma-ray burst brought on one of many five mass extinctions prior to now 500 million years. Astronomers have argued {that a} gamma-ray burst brought on the first mass extinction 440 million years in the past, when 60% of all marine creatures disappeared.
A current reminder
Essentially the most excessive astrophysical occasions have an extended attain. Astronomers have been reminded of this in October 2022, when a pulse of radiation swept by means of the solar system and overloaded the entire gamma-ray telescopes in space.
It was the brightest gamma-ray burst to happen since human civilization started. The radiation brought on a sudden disturbance to the Earth’s ionosphere, although the supply was an explosion practically 2 billion light years away. Life on Earth was unaffected, however the truth that it altered the ionosphere is sobering – an analogous burst within the Milky Way can be 1,000,000 instances brighter.
The writer is a college distinguished professor of astronomy on the College of Arizona.
This text first appeared on The Conversation. It’s republished right here underneath a Inventive Commons license.