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Home Astronomy Ask Astro: How many exoplanets does the transit method miss? | Astronomy.com

Ask Astro: How many exoplanets does the transit method miss? | Astronomy.com

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Ask Astro: How many exoplanets does the transit method miss? | Astronomy.com


Astronomers estimate we’ve got missed tons of of hundreds of planets as a result of they do not cross in entrance of their star from our perspective.

For the reason that transit methodology depends on direct line of sight to our planet, and exoplanets orbit with random orientations, what number of exoplanets are estimated to be uncounted utilizing this methodology?

Edward Dean
Merritt Island, Florida

This can be a actually essential correction we’ve got to make when attempting to calculate what fraction of stars have planets. The likelihood of a planet transiting its star from our perspective is proportional to the radius of the star (the larger the star, the extra space there may be for the planet to doubtlessly transit) divided by the gap between the star and its planet (planets which are farther from their stars are much less prone to transit).

This likelihood ranges from about 1 in 10 for decent Jupiters — Jupiter-sized planets that orbit their stars in just some days — to about 1 in 200 for Earth-sized planets that orbit their star with a interval of 12 months. It’s even smaller for extra distant planets. Doing a fast calculation with the transiting planets we’ve found to this point and analyzing their stellar hosts and their orbital distances, it appears like we’ve in all probability missed about 110,000 planets for the 4,000 that we’ve discovered!

Jessie Christiansen
NASA Exoplanet Archive Venture Scientist, Caltech/Infrared Processing and Evaluation Heart, Pasadena, California



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